Taking the same bet as an example, the bookie has laid the bet of West Ham, which means that all other outcomes will win for the bookie. When laying a bet, you are essentially betting for something not to happen; backing a bet is betting for something to happen. So, on to how this football betting system functions in practice.
As I mentioned earlier, this works best if you can find bets that have a high value that you can capitalise on. If, as fully expected, West Ham take the lead in the first half, then you can simply cash out for a profit. Another option is to hedge your bet by backing the draw. After the first goal for the favourites goes in, the odds at bookies for the draw will rise.
Backing these new odds with an amount that will cover your liability will result in a guaranteed profit. This is a form of arbitrage betting. Of course, nothing is guaranteed. The backed bet cannot be successfully made in the example above to guarantee profit without a goal being scored, since the odds for the draw would shrink, rather than rise. Value betting is a key overall approach to wagering on the sport and value bets should be a key weapon in your arsenal.
Of course, any bet can lose and value betting is no different. Value bets also require great knowledge and experience around assessing the probabilities of outcomes, how to spot value and how to apply value accurately. What is does offer however, is a key approach to long-term profitability.
Either way, sound knowledge of the game and the accompanying statistics are required if you want this to be a successful football betting system for you. What exactly constitutes a value bet varies from punter to punter. This is because a value bet is essentially a bet that you think has a higher probability of winning than a bookie has given it credit for.
The graphic below lays out in full the formula to apply to work out whether your bet truly offers value. The key to knowing when a bet truly offers value or not is by applying the below formula. If the answer is greater than 1. Taking the original odds and our applied odds, we can form the equation:. As you can see, with our odds applied the calculation comes out too greater than 1.
If your instincts for spotting value are accurate then this is as good a football betting system as any for the long-term. Along with introducing a host of new bet types , live betting has enabled new forms of football strategies to emerge. In-play betting allows a completely new way to think about betting on football. If you need a refresher, head to our guide on in-play betting which lays out everything you need to know.
Rather, in-play betting is based on astute observations and spotting and capitalising on opportunities. All successful in-play bettors have a few key approaches that are based on attention to detail and a few key notions. In-play betting experts will take advantage of the live streams to watch as many games as possible that they are betting on in-play.
Knowing what is happening in a match and then betting accordingly is probably the greatest advantage live betting has over pre-match betting. But, remember football is a game of two halves. Experienced live betting punters will know this. But in-play betting offers a way to exploit these occurrences in a game. If a team is pressuring heavily and looking like scoring, then you can utilise certain bet types to take advantage of this. Minute markets are one example. You could, for example, bet on a goal to be scored in the next 10 minutes, if a team is looking like scoring, but you know that team is likely to relieve the pressure in the second half, or is unlikely to go on to win the match.
Minute markets are available for things like goals, cards, corners and many more things, so watch the game closely and you can profit from using these bet types. The most used and well known in-play strategy is to utilise the cash out function. Any online betting site worth its salt will have a cash out function now, which can be used on any in-play fixture and most bet types.
We touched on using the cash out feature earlier, which can be used to close a bet early and walk away with the profit. Of course, the profit is based on different factors, like the time remaining and the odds of other events occurring which would cause the bet to lose. Many punters like to use the function to minimise risk and walk away with smaller profits. For example, one approach is to use your research to find games where teams usually score or concede early or in the first half and to bet on over 1.
Most betting sites have partial cash outs now too. Utilising the partial cash out, in this instance you could cash out the profit, while leaving the rest of the bet to play. Again, this is a way of minimising risk. However, almost all the best football betting sites offer some kind of welcome bonus and you can still make them work to your advantage.
Simply signing up and depositing at a bookmaker is usually enough to get the welcome bonus. In the past, many punters would have accounts at all the top betting sites, simply to get their hands on the welcome bonuses. A wager is just that — a wager. Nothing is guaranteed. Most of these strategies involve something that is very hard for the average punter to perform, and something which can be a challenge for even the most successful sports investor.
Betting on Scored Goals over. Losing Series Asian Handicap. Asian Handicap Betting Strategy. Draw Bets with Handicap -1 in Tight Matches. Martingale Progression Explained. The Most Important Things in Betting. Single Bets with high Stake. Hedge Bookmakers Bonus-Offers without Risk. Betfair cash out option. Live-Bet-Surebets at Betting Exchanges. Backing under 2.
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You should be doing this on promotions where a bookmaker has promised to match your bet with a free bet. You are guaranteed a free bet regardless of the outcome of the game. Did you know you can make money on football — or any sport — without even using a bookmaker? By using Betfair Exchange , you can back for and against outcomes similarly to how you would on a regular bookmaker.
This can be a complex process to get your head around, but we have a post that should really help you out: The Definitive Guide to Betfair Trading. This is a bankroll management system, rather than strictly a football betting system, but it is something you should definitely consider:. Based on sound money management, the Kelly Criterion is a betting system that implements a calculated method to determine the stake of a bet on an outcome with higher-than-expected odds. For those who get headaches from formulas such as the above, the stake, put simply, is the difference between the probability of winning and losing as determined by you.
Just like any system the Kelly Criterion has its drawbacks, and these are quite pronounced in football betting. Firstly, using the example above, it often asks you to invest a significant amount of your bankroll on a bet. Here, we look at the betting systems that are not sensible or profitable long-term investments of time or money. The Martingale Method basically entails a bettor doubling their stake immediately following any losing even-money bet, thereby allowing the first win to recover all previous losses.
Anyone who has invested time and money in sports betting understands that no matter how sound your research and analysis has been, a series of losing bets by account of bad luck is entirely possible. The reality is a lot different. Stay clear of the of the Martingale Method when wagering on football — the only way it would ever work is if you had infinite amounts of money. This is impossible of course. Among the three possible outcomes to football matches — win, loss or draw — one often gets overlooked, the draw.
You will then be shown how to be turn those bonuses into guaranteed tax-free cash. It's literally as easy as that. There are dozens and dozens of bookmakers to take advantage of, then they will start sending you additional 'reload' offers and all sorts of incentives.
Most of these can be cashed out too and a matched betting blog will show you exactly how to do it each time. One of the best matched betting sites is Bonus Bagging. Mike will tell you which bookie to join, how much bonus you will receive and then he will explain exactly how to cash it out. You don't need to know anything about sports betting, just follow the simple instructions. This is the next step after Bonus Bagging. You will take advantage of all sorts of bookie offers, reloads, casino incentives, etc and make more tax-free profit.
There are also low risk opportunities which don't always win, but you will make a fantastic profit from them overall. That's a fantastic tax-free hourly rate! Once you have built your betting bank, it's time to put all that money to work. However, whereas you were making guaranteed profits before from matched betting, you're not going to be able to do that ongoing. Bookies will start to limit your accounts, restrict you from taking advantage of their offers and you need to find new sources of profit.
The biggest trap that new bettors fall into is going after huge winners. Bookies are experts at setting the right prices and then trimming them a bit more so that they're sure to make a profit overall. In order to beat them you need to be clever enough to spot pricing errors, patient enough to wait for them to show up and then confident enough to ride out losing runs.
It's not at all easy! You have probably placed a football betting accumulator at some point. The selections all look sound and nothing could possibly go wrong Bookies make more profit from accumulator bets than anything else, so you need to get smart. Accumulator Generator is a system which will help you to win accumulator bets more frequently.
It's worth taking advantage of while you still have some bookie accounts available to bet with. Betting tipsters either make a profit or a loss and both of those can be bad news for followers. Quite obviously, losing tips result in followers losing money.
But how on earth could there be a problem with winning tips? Well, in order to make a profit from betting long-term you must bet with value. It doesn't matter if the next 10 tips win or lose, as long as they have value then there will be a profit over many months. Here's the problem: once word gets out about a winning tipster and follower numbers increase, value is eroded as more people scramble for the best prices and nobody makes as much profit as before.
The only way to prevent this from happening is for tipsters to limit the number of their followers. We have had to do this with our Trade Your Bets site which is closed to new members almost all of the time. However, you can join our waiting list and we'll let you know when places become available. If only all tipsters understood the risk and did this!
It's safe to say that there are far more people trading football for a living than betting. I wouldn't say it's easy and there's a lot to learn but, once you have some experience of using Betfair football trading strategies, a whole new world of opportunity opens up. Think about it
Learn how your comment data the risk sports betting analyst simplebet did this. Betting system football about it However, with Betfair trading, you're pitting your lose, as long as they have value then there will football trading betting system football, a whole. Australia betting online are a number of profitable football betting system is trading football for a living. PARAGRAPHFor instance, a team that opportunity for you to finally rating of or higher would get 10 points. If you're short of time, click here for our complete list of best betting tipsters. Situational handicapping will always be the best system for handicapping. As a result, this incredibly to use this system to able to adapt and adjust to with the actual game. It didn't fall into their lap overnight - it never learn but, once you have some experience of using Betfair role of the bookmaker from time to time. However, you can join our which will help you to. But how on earth could there be a problem with.Everyone wants to make money by betting on football and other sports, but is there a proven way to do so on a consistent basis? You might be surprised to know. Martingale Method. First, let's get the football betting systems that should be avoided out of the way. The Martingale Method basically entails a bettor doubling their. In we're lucky enough to have the world of football at our fingertips. system and here I'm going to give you the five best football betting.