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I've read in a few trip reviews about people winning hundreds of dollars on the penny slots. When most people max bet on penny slots about winning big on pennies they max bet on penny slots go on a roll and have betting games large wins coupled with some small to mid sized wins. I go with a set amount of money to have fun, and if I win that makes it even more fun I would love to see these mystical slots where max bet is only five coins because it's been ages since I've seen those - max bet seems to be more 10 to 20 coins per line lately. A good payoff for a single coin per line bettor on a penny slot is a hundred dollars or so.

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Troytown chase betting systems

A much fuller update including an abridged version of post race celebrations will be written later but until then here is a link to the video:. Just note at the start how he takes strides sideways and loses all momentum. We left the racecourse at around 8. Peter and Ber had n early morning flight fromBirmingham so left around 11pm; foolishly Bernard, John and I decided to squeeze a little more out of the day and eventually retired exhausted some time after midnight hopefully that is sufficiently vague.

Cheltenham did a really nice job or creating a package for Owners including very cool Paddock badges we had 10 with the racing colours. I had four Owners and Trainer badges and the hospitality area in the Brightwells Pavilion was upscale and certainly met with the approval of Bernard and John.

There was much time at all between the 6th race and our race. Apparently john had taken the initiative that's one way of putting it of introducing Noel to everybody and was winter on a roll or wasn't concentrating when he went to introduce Peter to Noel; much to our amusement. Everything went so quickly from that point; it was almost a blur. I've always said the build-up and anticipation was most important to me and , in all honesty given the speed at which things moved, the actual race went by way too fast.

It's great to have the video though and it will be viewed constantly. It was fantastic to have Ian, David, Cob, Matthew and Dale in the paddock with use; Ian is a great friend and incredibly supportive across many, many years. There are very few people I would just and rely on totally and he is certainly at the very top of that short list.

David, his son, is Flat Racing Editor at Timeform and is a great guy. Everyone else will get a special mention in the blog over the coming installments. The big day is here and I can't sleep. I did drink enough last night to make me sleep but it would seem that the score is Excitement 1 - Alcohol 0.

It was a fairly quiet night, in fact. Peter and Ber arranged to meet us up the Queens Hotel for a quick pre-dinner drink at 7. It is tempting to say that we were discussing race tactics and our respective levels of excitement but that would be a lie well, maybe for half and hour. The rest of the time was spent playing a stupid game called Shoot the Pot which consists of the following:. Take around 15 one pound coins. Stack them in a pile. Choose a banker each player takes turn to be a banker.

The banker puts in 20 pounds. The choice is in deciding if either a head or a tail will be revealed when they remove the top coin. If they win they take that money out of the pot; if not the increases and Player 2 can bet up to the new pot value. Continue until the pot is empty or each player has bet twice. Change banker and do it all over again for three hours in our case!! It is ridiculously addictive. Anyway, good fun and there is the scary prospect that we will do it all over again tonight.

Bernard lost loads of money and had to make a withdrawal from the Leech Bank. I got back at around 1am and had received some wonderful messages wishing us luck today. We will be going up to the course soon and Ber will be taking even more photos. The one on the left is the owner and trainer imagining the victory walk in front of the packed grandstands at 5. The one below is of the boy himself.

Looking magnificent and happy at the course. Please allow me to send a personal message to my wonderful wife at this point: "Kim, we are in England and that thing in blue is the sky!. I know, amazing but true! Thanks for that. I don't even want to think about where he might finish and the closer we get I am sure I will have a curious mixture of excitement, anticipation, hope, expectation and sheer fright - I am determined to enjoy it all.

Just got back from the course. In the end, Bernard failed his blood test and has been confined to his bedroom all morning. He has emerged looking respondent in shirt, tie and blazer. I very much doubt that Rich Ricci will be asking the name of my tailor in the paddock but, hopefully, he may be asking for the number of my trainer after the race :.

The horse looked, if anything, more relaxed today; he seems to be relishing the Cheltenham experience. We saw one of Willie Mullins lad afterwards and he has 17 horses running today; 56 for the week. That is remarkable and scary; not least the fact he had four winners yesterday. I wasn't much impressed by the Racing Post comments on Bay of Freedom:. Contested bumpers at Listowel and Galway, beating only three rivals latterly but the second has at least won since over hurdles; this a very big ask though and has something to find on Topspeed and RPRs.

Anybody reading this site will no I have no respect for the Racing Post Racings RPR but the topped has him 10th out of 24 so that's hardly a total outsider. The plan is to get up to the course early and meet the other guys; the ravages of the week have already rendered one guy incapacitated for those of you who think I am referring to financial losses then you really have never been to the Cheltenham Festival.

Ok - I am going to the course. Just got back form the course and the pub beckons so this will be quick. Bay of Freedom looks absolutely magnificent and is just loving the ground and the Cheltenham experience; hopefully the tomorrow's forecast rain won't be enough to change the going. Peter is justifiably delighted with how well the horse is, and now we just need to wait until tomorrow. Ber mentioned twice that it was after 9am and we still hadn't declared we had until 10am and Peter, very sensibly, interpreted this as an instruction to get on the phone and declare.

It's a beautiful morning on the course and it was so busy even at 8am. I have collected my badges for tomorrow and also 10 paddock badges with my colours and name on them; I will leave one behind so as to keep a pristine copy. My last count had nine of us going into the paddock. Looks like only one came out at the overnight stage so the lowest rating is 7 pounds higher than last year.

More to come later Just back from the races and quickly posting before we paint the town green, black and white! A losing day today but I really don't care. I am planning to be up at the course in the morning irrespective of the evening to come. I will provide a quick update after the morning exercise. Sleep well. I spoke to Peter earlier this morning and the horse ate up last night which we didn't expect after all of the travelling and drank two buckets of water - he's an old pro!

He also has his own bucket and he got the horse used to drinking out of the bucket last week; that way he would recognize the smell and it would feel familiar when he got to Cheltenham. There's more to this training lark than most people realize including me. We will be up at the course at 8. Still no jockey news but we need to have one by this time tomorrow - I will explain why it's taking so long in tomorrow's entry.

Unfortunately in the States the races are not streamed live so we have to wait patiently for the RP to get the replays up. The only member of the family who does bet nowadays is my Uncle Brian; unfortunately he had a heart attack a few weeks ago and this has presented him with a dilemma. The doctor, after much pleading, has allowed some light exercise which, for this week, will take the form of him being chauffeured to Ladbrokes and being given five minutes to go in and put his bets on.

The anticipation of doing it again means that I never get too down during the week. And now for the news you've been waiting for: who is going to ride Bay of Freedom? He is a wonderfully accomplished horseman and as well as being a preeminent jockey he is also very successful in bumpers. I have never met him but have spoken to him from America; this was in March when my previous horse, Bravo, won his only race.

Noel had never ridden him before and he and I spoke after the race with me in America. He was great to speak to then and, by all accounts, is a genuinely nice guy. I know a lot of people expected Katie Walsh to be riding him. She has been fantastic both in his two runs and also in his two recent racecourse gallops. However, it looks like she will be riding one of the Ricci horses for Willie Mullins.

She has had some great success at the Festival on Willie's horses and I am sure is looking forward to a great ride on Wednesday; but probably not as much as Noel :. Things are pretty much in place now I will be meeting Peter and Ber at 8. I am totally exhausted! I received an invitation from a group on Twitter called Racing Groups who have followers to join in their Cheltenham preview at 8pm tonight.

It was incredibly hectic and I increased my meagre number of followers by 30; which was pretty cool. In addition to top secret information about Bay of Freedom I was constantly being asked for my opinions on the other races; this was a bit intimidating given that my knowledge of the other races is a little superficial. As you can probably tell I was looking for the less obvious choices!

Please also be assured that the only information I gave regarding Bay of Freedom was already well known by the loyal readers and viewers of this website. To add to the general sense of optimism Captain Von Trappe who we beat by 8 lengths at Galway came out and won at Naas today. This was the exception that proved the rule. I will be providing several updates tomorrow so, just when you think you've seen it all, keep coming back and coming back again.

The good news is their absence didn't stop Bay of Freedom from being in the field so I have decided that such stupid superstitious thoughts have no place in my mind; the same goes for wondering if we should use the wrong cap that he wore when he won at Galway. We will be using the proper cap and I will be wearing another pair of black and green socks which are perfectly nice thank you very much.

I spoke to Peter briefly and the horse was fine this morning. We took some blood and should get the results tomorrow; his last counts a week or so ago were perfect and better than at Galway so we are not expecting any issues and are just making sure no stone is left unturned. She had actually forgotten about the race being on Wednesday and had arranged to see the second Marigold Hotel movie with my sister.

As a punishment I forced them to listen to my interview on FM Racing which they endured with fortitude, determination and ultimately support. I mentioned in that interview that I was first introduced to racing by my dad at the age of 5 or 6 when he took me to Uttoxeter, our local track.

He was also an internet junkie so would have got a kick out of this site although the daily critiques might have driven us both mad. I am incredibly lucky in so many ways and will forever be grateful to my dad for allowing me to share his passion and then for supporting my passion as it developed into a love for this great sport.

Bay of Freedom will be in his stable right now completely unaware of the culture shock that the next few days will bring; the ferry, the drive to Cheltenham, the buzz and the number of horses, the crowds and the complete change in routine.

We're confident he'll take it all in his stride and be in great form when we next see him on Tuesday morning. Still no jockey news: we may know more tomorrow. In the meantime watch out for Owega Star at Naas; best of luck to him and Peter! One more thing - Captain Von Trappe runs in the 3 mile maiden hurdle at Naas. Can you believe it? Talk about close - he is number 24 of 24 and there are two other horses with the same rating Peter and Ber are delighted as is Gavin, his lad.

As Peter said: " now the pressure is really on". I decided that discretion was the better part of valor after a night down the pub with some friends. Right now, we are still waiting for a little more clarity about who is available or not.

We obviously have some very definite ideas but, and this drives me crazy, it's not fair of me to speculate or to name names at this point. As soon as something is decided I will let you know but, whoever it is based on the names we have discussed, I will be absolutely delighted! It looks to me that the field is pretty well set and the 24 won't change too much by declaration time.

Nicky Gifford has indicated he needs rain for Theo's Charm to run so he may well come out and there has been speculation that Nicky Henderson may only run one or even none. That speculation was on various forums when he had three entered originally; the fact that he has taken one out would indicate to me that there is every chance the two remaining will run; we shall see.

Whichever way you look at it the lowest rating of any horse in the race is likely to be To provide some context: over the last 7 years there have 53 horses who have run with a rating lower than out of in total ; basically a third of the field on average. The lowest ratings in each of those seven years were , respectively first , That's a big difference to this year and illustrates the quality of the field well, at least, as far as the handicapper is concerned.

The other interesting fact that is that the only once in those seven years Dunguib - hs the highest rated horse won the race. In fact, it is very often won by a horse around the mark. Champagne Fever ran off a mark of in but, in the other five years, ratings were , , , With a rating of , Bay of Freedom is perfectly positioned by the handicapper!

The other questions of the night was: "where would you be happy with him finishing? I should also keep my own counsel so as to avoid sounding either ridiculously optimistic in advance or completely foolish in retrospect. I, therefore, answered the question literally and said "I will be happy if he is in the first ten". I keep thinking that every part of this dream is coming true and you never know what that might lead to on Wednesday afternoon.

Friday morning was incredible; he went for a quick six furlong spin on the Curragh with anther horse. It was remarkable to watch Bay of Freedom just lobbing along and then be told by Peter "we're doing 60" Obviously, 60 kph but that's still 38 mph and he didn't look to be trying.

At the end of the gallop the other horse was covered in sweat and Bay of Freedom was barely blowing and no sweat; he's as fit as he can be. Peter has done his job and now we can only wait and see what Wednesday brings. The six-day declarations came out and they were remarkably similar to the day declarations otherwise known as the entries 45 horses were entered and 38 stood their ground; this was pretty amazing and I cannot recall any year when so many were left in. The day started with me visiting the yard and Bay of Freedom having an easy canter on the all-weather.

His lad, Gavin, is feeling good about the horse but, like all of us, just wants to know if he will get in the race. Peter made several calls to check in on the number of declarations but with no clarity. Even after the official deadline for confirmations noon had come and gone it took an inordinate amount of time for the numbers to come through.

It must have looked pretty comical with me refreshing the Racing Post, Sporting Life, Attheraces and Timeform sites and Peter doing the same on other sites. We already knew that See the World had been pulled out so that was encouraging in the sense that he almost certainly would have been rated ahead of Bay of Freedom. However, to end up with 38 was a bit of a downer and we had to wait another 20 minutes to know the other six horses who had come out. My sense was that a few of these may have been rated higher than Bay of Freedom and so this wasn't the disaster that seemed likely.

However, 38 horses are a lot and I don't envy the handicapper in ranking these horses; I would just say that if he gets in Bay of Freedom will do himself justice. Ber, Peter and myself had dinner tonight in Kildare. It's going to be a busy and exciting few days for both with Owega Star having his last run before the Grad National on Sunday and Bay of Freedom going to Cheltenham.

Not a late night we'll save that for next week hopefully but Pete is taking Bay of Freedom up to the Curragh in the morning to stretch his legs and we will be meeting at 10am to watch. I am flying over to Birmingham at 1. I will publish an update immediately and then go down the pub in, hopefully, a positive and confident mood. Baby Update: I am delighted to report that Lauren was back on top form today after yesterday's slight aberration; mother and daughter continue to be fabulous!

Kim was dealing with it admirably; I even decided not to point out that it's a good job we hadn't both travelled over to watch Bay of Freedom. When I last spoke to her she was on the roof so my decision probably means that I have a wife to go home to although I am sure she would have seen the funny side of it!

Most punters make the mistake of trying to back winners without considering the odds. They try to back the most likely winner of a race rather than the horse who is most over-priced. Take a fair deck of 52 cards. Of the two possible outcomes, of course the more likely outcome is that a red card will be drawn.

The odds offered are lower than the true odds for the event occurring, and the bet consequently offers poor value. Unlike the draw of a card, the true probability of any horse winning any race is neither known nor measurable. Consequently, nobody knows what the true odds are.

The odds on offer are governed by the laws of supply and demand, a function of bookmaker and bettor opinion. Therefore, the edge in betting usually lies in going against the crowd, an idea that Alan Potts encapsulated in his book of that title.

If you can take a view that is contrary to that of the majority, and if your opinion is well informed and accurate then, in the long run, you should make a profit.

JOELMIR BETTING PTOSIS

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Technically, based on the 6 lengths we finished behind Cecil Corbett at Down Royal when conceding 8 pounds this collateral form line would make us a couple of lengths behind Gangster. However, when you factor in the ease with which Gangster won and the fact that Cecil Corbett was only having his first run for Gordon Elliott at Down Royal and has, undoubtedly, improved since, it could be argued that we are much further behind Gangster.

All that being said, Gangster would be my idea of the winner at this stage. Of the other likely well supported horses, at this stage I would Sandymount Duke will struggle to give away up to 10 pounds over a distance short of his best and on ground possibly a little softer than ideal.

Sorry for the delayed posting but I wanted to watch the race a few times before commenting. The more I watch the race the happier I am with the performance and, seeing as we were happy immediately after the race, this makes me very happy indeed. The start was frustrating and he certainly lost a lot of ground and momentum; this caused him to be behind horses and it meant Noel had to sit and suffer; it seemed every time we moved forward we had to just pull back.

The Timeform rating of which is 4 pounds lower than at Galway is, in my humble opinion, too low. There was no mention in their comments about the start when he took four steps to his left and he is rated 22 pounds below Moon Racer despite being beaten by 'only' 15 lengths which would normally equate to 15 pounds. Not only that Timeform noted that Moon Racer started slowly and , while that was true, there is no doubt that Bay of Freedom started more slowly.

This is what Timeform wrote:. No mention of the slow start which, to my mind, is incredible. Of course, I am not suggesting that Moon Racer wouldn't have beaten Bay of Freedom but I see no reason to suggest this sort of differential. Of course, it was left to the Racing Post to really get me fired up on Thursday morning and, trust me, after two late nights on Tuesday and Wednesday that was no small achievement!

I was looking forward to their race report to see what they would say about Bay of Freedom; it was with a mixture of shock, incredulity and, ultimately, anger that I read, and read again, and still didn't see any mention of Bay of Freedom. In case you're thinking "well..

You may not need reminding that Bay of Freedom finished 9th and there was not a single mention of him - not only annoying but also incomprehensible given the horses who were commented on. My thoughts are that we should take a lot of encouragement from the performance. We beat most of the Irish horses and all of Willie Mullin's six horses; these are the horses we will be coming up against next season over hurdles in Ireland and that has to give us some confidence.

The next race is likely the bumper at Punchestown and we may ride him differently this time; yes, you guessed it, we intend to be going forwards when the tapes go up! There may be a few other changes as well but we don't want to give our top secret strategy away to the opposition at this stage.

The horse has already schooled over hurdles but Peter intends to step this up between now and Punchestown; starting next week. Several people on the racing forums have congratulated me on his performance and have suggested the Neptune hurdle at Cheltenham might be a legitimate target next season; it would be amazing to think it could be but it's way too early to speculate.

Let's see how he jumps in a race first. Others have asked if we've received any substantial offers for him since his run. We're not selling and we have not received any enquiries; if we did, they would come from someone who used their own eyes and ignored the Racing Post!

Let's cut to the chase - he finished 9th of We were delighted with him and he seemed great after the race; Peter will call later and give an update but, by now, he will be back in Ireland after catching the 2. His lad, Gavin, love step horse but he must be exhausted this morning but he is still probably on a high from yesterday. The story of the race is pretty simple. There was a false start which meant that the second time they had to start standing still as opposed to walking in. By this time , Bay of Freedom, who was at the back had become unsettled and ended up going sideways when they actually did start.

This meant he had a wall of horses in front of him and really had to sit and suffer for most of the race. When he did attempt to move forward it was difficult to find a gap and he meant that the jockey was having to take a hold when he wants to move and move forward when he would have preferred to hold on to him. He ran on well to pass a few horses up the hill and we were very happy. Peter and Ber were delighted and are looking forward to some good time with him.

Noel Fehily said the horse moved well and was very happy with him and to expect him to be back at Cheltenham next year; would love to think he would be good enough. I am going to cut this short now since it was a late night last night and I have to leave our lodgings soon to get up to the course. Not much studying for today's races has taken place so I need to fit that in somewhere. A much fuller update including an abridged version of post race celebrations will be written later but until then here is a link to the video:.

Just note at the start how he takes strides sideways and loses all momentum. We left the racecourse at around 8. Peter and Ber had n early morning flight fromBirmingham so left around 11pm; foolishly Bernard, John and I decided to squeeze a little more out of the day and eventually retired exhausted some time after midnight hopefully that is sufficiently vague.

Cheltenham did a really nice job or creating a package for Owners including very cool Paddock badges we had 10 with the racing colours. I had four Owners and Trainer badges and the hospitality area in the Brightwells Pavilion was upscale and certainly met with the approval of Bernard and John. There was much time at all between the 6th race and our race.

Apparently john had taken the initiative that's one way of putting it of introducing Noel to everybody and was winter on a roll or wasn't concentrating when he went to introduce Peter to Noel; much to our amusement. Everything went so quickly from that point; it was almost a blur. I've always said the build-up and anticipation was most important to me and , in all honesty given the speed at which things moved, the actual race went by way too fast. It's great to have the video though and it will be viewed constantly.

It was fantastic to have Ian, David, Cob, Matthew and Dale in the paddock with use; Ian is a great friend and incredibly supportive across many, many years. There are very few people I would just and rely on totally and he is certainly at the very top of that short list. David, his son, is Flat Racing Editor at Timeform and is a great guy. Everyone else will get a special mention in the blog over the coming installments. The big day is here and I can't sleep. I did drink enough last night to make me sleep but it would seem that the score is Excitement 1 - Alcohol 0.

It was a fairly quiet night, in fact. Peter and Ber arranged to meet us up the Queens Hotel for a quick pre-dinner drink at 7. It is tempting to say that we were discussing race tactics and our respective levels of excitement but that would be a lie well, maybe for half and hour. The rest of the time was spent playing a stupid game called Shoot the Pot which consists of the following:. Take around 15 one pound coins.

Stack them in a pile. Choose a banker each player takes turn to be a banker. The banker puts in 20 pounds. The choice is in deciding if either a head or a tail will be revealed when they remove the top coin. If they win they take that money out of the pot; if not the increases and Player 2 can bet up to the new pot value. Continue until the pot is empty or each player has bet twice. Change banker and do it all over again for three hours in our case!!

It is ridiculously addictive. Anyway, good fun and there is the scary prospect that we will do it all over again tonight. Bernard lost loads of money and had to make a withdrawal from the Leech Bank. I got back at around 1am and had received some wonderful messages wishing us luck today.

We will be going up to the course soon and Ber will be taking even more photos. The one on the left is the owner and trainer imagining the victory walk in front of the packed grandstands at 5. The one below is of the boy himself. Looking magnificent and happy at the course.

Please allow me to send a personal message to my wonderful wife at this point: "Kim, we are in England and that thing in blue is the sky!. I know, amazing but true! Thanks for that. I don't even want to think about where he might finish and the closer we get I am sure I will have a curious mixture of excitement, anticipation, hope, expectation and sheer fright - I am determined to enjoy it all. Just got back from the course.

In the end, Bernard failed his blood test and has been confined to his bedroom all morning. He has emerged looking respondent in shirt, tie and blazer. I very much doubt that Rich Ricci will be asking the name of my tailor in the paddock but, hopefully, he may be asking for the number of my trainer after the race :. The horse looked, if anything, more relaxed today; he seems to be relishing the Cheltenham experience. We saw one of Willie Mullins lad afterwards and he has 17 horses running today; 56 for the week.

That is remarkable and scary; not least the fact he had four winners yesterday. I wasn't much impressed by the Racing Post comments on Bay of Freedom:. Contested bumpers at Listowel and Galway, beating only three rivals latterly but the second has at least won since over hurdles; this a very big ask though and has something to find on Topspeed and RPRs.

Anybody reading this site will no I have no respect for the Racing Post Racings RPR but the topped has him 10th out of 24 so that's hardly a total outsider. The plan is to get up to the course early and meet the other guys; the ravages of the week have already rendered one guy incapacitated for those of you who think I am referring to financial losses then you really have never been to the Cheltenham Festival.

Ok - I am going to the course. Just got back form the course and the pub beckons so this will be quick. Bay of Freedom looks absolutely magnificent and is just loving the ground and the Cheltenham experience; hopefully the tomorrow's forecast rain won't be enough to change the going.

Peter is justifiably delighted with how well the horse is, and now we just need to wait until tomorrow. Ber mentioned twice that it was after 9am and we still hadn't declared we had until 10am and Peter, very sensibly, interpreted this as an instruction to get on the phone and declare.

It's a beautiful morning on the course and it was so busy even at 8am. I have collected my badges for tomorrow and also 10 paddock badges with my colours and name on them; I will leave one behind so as to keep a pristine copy. My last count had nine of us going into the paddock.

Looks like only one came out at the overnight stage so the lowest rating is 7 pounds higher than last year. More to come later Just back from the races and quickly posting before we paint the town green, black and white! A losing day today but I really don't care. I am planning to be up at the course in the morning irrespective of the evening to come.

I will provide a quick update after the morning exercise. Sleep well. I spoke to Peter earlier this morning and the horse ate up last night which we didn't expect after all of the travelling and drank two buckets of water - he's an old pro! He also has his own bucket and he got the horse used to drinking out of the bucket last week; that way he would recognize the smell and it would feel familiar when he got to Cheltenham.

There's more to this training lark than most people realize including me. We will be up at the course at 8. Still no jockey news but we need to have one by this time tomorrow - I will explain why it's taking so long in tomorrow's entry.

Unfortunately in the States the races are not streamed live so we have to wait patiently for the RP to get the replays up. The only member of the family who does bet nowadays is my Uncle Brian; unfortunately he had a heart attack a few weeks ago and this has presented him with a dilemma.

The doctor, after much pleading, has allowed some light exercise which, for this week, will take the form of him being chauffeured to Ladbrokes and being given five minutes to go in and put his bets on. The anticipation of doing it again means that I never get too down during the week. And now for the news you've been waiting for: who is going to ride Bay of Freedom?

He is a wonderfully accomplished horseman and as well as being a preeminent jockey he is also very successful in bumpers. I have never met him but have spoken to him from America; this was in March when my previous horse, Bravo, won his only race. Noel had never ridden him before and he and I spoke after the race with me in America. He was great to speak to then and, by all accounts, is a genuinely nice guy.

I know a lot of people expected Katie Walsh to be riding him. She has been fantastic both in his two runs and also in his two recent racecourse gallops. However, it looks like she will be riding one of the Ricci horses for Willie Mullins.

She has had some great success at the Festival on Willie's horses and I am sure is looking forward to a great ride on Wednesday; but probably not as much as Noel :. Things are pretty much in place now I will be meeting Peter and Ber at 8.

I am totally exhausted! I received an invitation from a group on Twitter called Racing Groups who have followers to join in their Cheltenham preview at 8pm tonight. It was incredibly hectic and I increased my meagre number of followers by 30; which was pretty cool. In addition to top secret information about Bay of Freedom I was constantly being asked for my opinions on the other races; this was a bit intimidating given that my knowledge of the other races is a little superficial.

As you can probably tell I was looking for the less obvious choices! Please also be assured that the only information I gave regarding Bay of Freedom was already well known by the loyal readers and viewers of this website. To add to the general sense of optimism Captain Von Trappe who we beat by 8 lengths at Galway came out and won at Naas today. This was the exception that proved the rule. I will be providing several updates tomorrow so, just when you think you've seen it all, keep coming back and coming back again.

The good news is their absence didn't stop Bay of Freedom from being in the field so I have decided that such stupid superstitious thoughts have no place in my mind; the same goes for wondering if we should use the wrong cap that he wore when he won at Galway. We will be using the proper cap and I will be wearing another pair of black and green socks which are perfectly nice thank you very much.

I spoke to Peter briefly and the horse was fine this morning. We took some blood and should get the results tomorrow; his last counts a week or so ago were perfect and better than at Galway so we are not expecting any issues and are just making sure no stone is left unturned. She had actually forgotten about the race being on Wednesday and had arranged to see the second Marigold Hotel movie with my sister.

As a punishment I forced them to listen to my interview on FM Racing which they endured with fortitude, determination and ultimately support. I mentioned in that interview that I was first introduced to racing by my dad at the age of 5 or 6 when he took me to Uttoxeter, our local track.

He was also an internet junkie so would have got a kick out of this site although the daily critiques might have driven us both mad. I am incredibly lucky in so many ways and will forever be grateful to my dad for allowing me to share his passion and then for supporting my passion as it developed into a love for this great sport.

Bay of Freedom will be in his stable right now completely unaware of the culture shock that the next few days will bring; the ferry, the drive to Cheltenham, the buzz and the number of horses, the crowds and the complete change in routine. We're confident he'll take it all in his stride and be in great form when we next see him on Tuesday morning.

Still no jockey news: we may know more tomorrow. In the meantime watch out for Owega Star at Naas; best of luck to him and Peter! One more thing - Captain Von Trappe runs in the 3 mile maiden hurdle at Naas. Can you believe it? Talk about close - he is number 24 of 24 and there are two other horses with the same rating Peter and Ber are delighted as is Gavin, his lad.

As Peter said: " now the pressure is really on". I decided that discretion was the better part of valor after a night down the pub with some friends. Right now, we are still waiting for a little more clarity about who is available or not.

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RAIDERS VS CHARGERS BETTING LINE 2021 ELECTION

Most of the horses will be giving us weight and that is certainly in our favor; of this that look likely to run that strongest form and greatest potential seems to be that of Gangster, trained by one Willie Mullins. Technically, based on the 6 lengths we finished behind Cecil Corbett at Down Royal when conceding 8 pounds this collateral form line would make us a couple of lengths behind Gangster.

However, when you factor in the ease with which Gangster won and the fact that Cecil Corbett was only having his first run for Gordon Elliott at Down Royal and has, undoubtedly, improved since, it could be argued that we are much further behind Gangster. All that being said, Gangster would be my idea of the winner at this stage. Of the other likely well supported horses, at this stage I would Sandymount Duke will struggle to give away up to 10 pounds over a distance short of his best and on ground possibly a little softer than ideal.

Sorry for the delayed posting but I wanted to watch the race a few times before commenting. The more I watch the race the happier I am with the performance and, seeing as we were happy immediately after the race, this makes me very happy indeed. The start was frustrating and he certainly lost a lot of ground and momentum; this caused him to be behind horses and it meant Noel had to sit and suffer; it seemed every time we moved forward we had to just pull back.

The Timeform rating of which is 4 pounds lower than at Galway is, in my humble opinion, too low. There was no mention in their comments about the start when he took four steps to his left and he is rated 22 pounds below Moon Racer despite being beaten by 'only' 15 lengths which would normally equate to 15 pounds. Not only that Timeform noted that Moon Racer started slowly and , while that was true, there is no doubt that Bay of Freedom started more slowly.

This is what Timeform wrote:. No mention of the slow start which, to my mind, is incredible. Of course, I am not suggesting that Moon Racer wouldn't have beaten Bay of Freedom but I see no reason to suggest this sort of differential. Of course, it was left to the Racing Post to really get me fired up on Thursday morning and, trust me, after two late nights on Tuesday and Wednesday that was no small achievement!

I was looking forward to their race report to see what they would say about Bay of Freedom; it was with a mixture of shock, incredulity and, ultimately, anger that I read, and read again, and still didn't see any mention of Bay of Freedom. In case you're thinking "well.. You may not need reminding that Bay of Freedom finished 9th and there was not a single mention of him - not only annoying but also incomprehensible given the horses who were commented on.

My thoughts are that we should take a lot of encouragement from the performance. We beat most of the Irish horses and all of Willie Mullin's six horses; these are the horses we will be coming up against next season over hurdles in Ireland and that has to give us some confidence. The next race is likely the bumper at Punchestown and we may ride him differently this time; yes, you guessed it, we intend to be going forwards when the tapes go up!

There may be a few other changes as well but we don't want to give our top secret strategy away to the opposition at this stage. The horse has already schooled over hurdles but Peter intends to step this up between now and Punchestown; starting next week. Several people on the racing forums have congratulated me on his performance and have suggested the Neptune hurdle at Cheltenham might be a legitimate target next season; it would be amazing to think it could be but it's way too early to speculate.

Let's see how he jumps in a race first. Others have asked if we've received any substantial offers for him since his run. We're not selling and we have not received any enquiries; if we did, they would come from someone who used their own eyes and ignored the Racing Post! Let's cut to the chase - he finished 9th of We were delighted with him and he seemed great after the race; Peter will call later and give an update but, by now, he will be back in Ireland after catching the 2.

His lad, Gavin, love step horse but he must be exhausted this morning but he is still probably on a high from yesterday. The story of the race is pretty simple. There was a false start which meant that the second time they had to start standing still as opposed to walking in. By this time , Bay of Freedom, who was at the back had become unsettled and ended up going sideways when they actually did start.

This meant he had a wall of horses in front of him and really had to sit and suffer for most of the race. When he did attempt to move forward it was difficult to find a gap and he meant that the jockey was having to take a hold when he wants to move and move forward when he would have preferred to hold on to him.

He ran on well to pass a few horses up the hill and we were very happy. Peter and Ber were delighted and are looking forward to some good time with him. Noel Fehily said the horse moved well and was very happy with him and to expect him to be back at Cheltenham next year; would love to think he would be good enough.

I am going to cut this short now since it was a late night last night and I have to leave our lodgings soon to get up to the course. Not much studying for today's races has taken place so I need to fit that in somewhere. A much fuller update including an abridged version of post race celebrations will be written later but until then here is a link to the video:.

Just note at the start how he takes strides sideways and loses all momentum. We left the racecourse at around 8. Peter and Ber had n early morning flight fromBirmingham so left around 11pm; foolishly Bernard, John and I decided to squeeze a little more out of the day and eventually retired exhausted some time after midnight hopefully that is sufficiently vague.

Cheltenham did a really nice job or creating a package for Owners including very cool Paddock badges we had 10 with the racing colours. I had four Owners and Trainer badges and the hospitality area in the Brightwells Pavilion was upscale and certainly met with the approval of Bernard and John. There was much time at all between the 6th race and our race.

Apparently john had taken the initiative that's one way of putting it of introducing Noel to everybody and was winter on a roll or wasn't concentrating when he went to introduce Peter to Noel; much to our amusement.

Everything went so quickly from that point; it was almost a blur. I've always said the build-up and anticipation was most important to me and , in all honesty given the speed at which things moved, the actual race went by way too fast. It's great to have the video though and it will be viewed constantly.

It was fantastic to have Ian, David, Cob, Matthew and Dale in the paddock with use; Ian is a great friend and incredibly supportive across many, many years. There are very few people I would just and rely on totally and he is certainly at the very top of that short list. David, his son, is Flat Racing Editor at Timeform and is a great guy. Everyone else will get a special mention in the blog over the coming installments. The big day is here and I can't sleep.

I did drink enough last night to make me sleep but it would seem that the score is Excitement 1 - Alcohol 0. It was a fairly quiet night, in fact. Peter and Ber arranged to meet us up the Queens Hotel for a quick pre-dinner drink at 7. It is tempting to say that we were discussing race tactics and our respective levels of excitement but that would be a lie well, maybe for half and hour.

The rest of the time was spent playing a stupid game called Shoot the Pot which consists of the following:. Take around 15 one pound coins. Stack them in a pile. Choose a banker each player takes turn to be a banker. The banker puts in 20 pounds.

The choice is in deciding if either a head or a tail will be revealed when they remove the top coin. If they win they take that money out of the pot; if not the increases and Player 2 can bet up to the new pot value. Continue until the pot is empty or each player has bet twice. Change banker and do it all over again for three hours in our case!! It is ridiculously addictive. Anyway, good fun and there is the scary prospect that we will do it all over again tonight.

Bernard lost loads of money and had to make a withdrawal from the Leech Bank. I got back at around 1am and had received some wonderful messages wishing us luck today. We will be going up to the course soon and Ber will be taking even more photos. The one on the left is the owner and trainer imagining the victory walk in front of the packed grandstands at 5.

The one below is of the boy himself. Looking magnificent and happy at the course. Please allow me to send a personal message to my wonderful wife at this point: "Kim, we are in England and that thing in blue is the sky!. I know, amazing but true! Thanks for that. I don't even want to think about where he might finish and the closer we get I am sure I will have a curious mixture of excitement, anticipation, hope, expectation and sheer fright - I am determined to enjoy it all.

Just got back from the course. In the end, Bernard failed his blood test and has been confined to his bedroom all morning. He has emerged looking respondent in shirt, tie and blazer. I very much doubt that Rich Ricci will be asking the name of my tailor in the paddock but, hopefully, he may be asking for the number of my trainer after the race :. The horse looked, if anything, more relaxed today; he seems to be relishing the Cheltenham experience. We saw one of Willie Mullins lad afterwards and he has 17 horses running today; 56 for the week.

That is remarkable and scary; not least the fact he had four winners yesterday. I wasn't much impressed by the Racing Post comments on Bay of Freedom:. Contested bumpers at Listowel and Galway, beating only three rivals latterly but the second has at least won since over hurdles; this a very big ask though and has something to find on Topspeed and RPRs.

Anybody reading this site will no I have no respect for the Racing Post Racings RPR but the topped has him 10th out of 24 so that's hardly a total outsider. The plan is to get up to the course early and meet the other guys; the ravages of the week have already rendered one guy incapacitated for those of you who think I am referring to financial losses then you really have never been to the Cheltenham Festival.

Ok - I am going to the course. Just got back form the course and the pub beckons so this will be quick. Bay of Freedom looks absolutely magnificent and is just loving the ground and the Cheltenham experience; hopefully the tomorrow's forecast rain won't be enough to change the going.

Peter is justifiably delighted with how well the horse is, and now we just need to wait until tomorrow. Ber mentioned twice that it was after 9am and we still hadn't declared we had until 10am and Peter, very sensibly, interpreted this as an instruction to get on the phone and declare. It's a beautiful morning on the course and it was so busy even at 8am.

I have collected my badges for tomorrow and also 10 paddock badges with my colours and name on them; I will leave one behind so as to keep a pristine copy. My last count had nine of us going into the paddock. Looks like only one came out at the overnight stage so the lowest rating is 7 pounds higher than last year. More to come later Just back from the races and quickly posting before we paint the town green, black and white!

A losing day today but I really don't care. I am planning to be up at the course in the morning irrespective of the evening to come. I will provide a quick update after the morning exercise. Sleep well. I spoke to Peter earlier this morning and the horse ate up last night which we didn't expect after all of the travelling and drank two buckets of water - he's an old pro!

He also has his own bucket and he got the horse used to drinking out of the bucket last week; that way he would recognize the smell and it would feel familiar when he got to Cheltenham. There's more to this training lark than most people realize including me.

We will be up at the course at 8. Still no jockey news but we need to have one by this time tomorrow - I will explain why it's taking so long in tomorrow's entry. Unfortunately in the States the races are not streamed live so we have to wait patiently for the RP to get the replays up.

The only member of the family who does bet nowadays is my Uncle Brian; unfortunately he had a heart attack a few weeks ago and this has presented him with a dilemma. The doctor, after much pleading, has allowed some light exercise which, for this week, will take the form of him being chauffeured to Ladbrokes and being given five minutes to go in and put his bets on. The anticipation of doing it again means that I never get too down during the week.

And now for the news you've been waiting for: who is going to ride Bay of Freedom? He is a wonderfully accomplished horseman and as well as being a preeminent jockey he is also very successful in bumpers. I have never met him but have spoken to him from America; this was in March when my previous horse, Bravo, won his only race. Noel had never ridden him before and he and I spoke after the race with me in America.

He was great to speak to then and, by all accounts, is a genuinely nice guy. I know a lot of people expected Katie Walsh to be riding him. She has been fantastic both in his two runs and also in his two recent racecourse gallops. However, it looks like she will be riding one of the Ricci horses for Willie Mullins. She has had some great success at the Festival on Willie's horses and I am sure is looking forward to a great ride on Wednesday; but probably not as much as Noel :.

Things are pretty much in place now I will be meeting Peter and Ber at 8. I am totally exhausted! I received an invitation from a group on Twitter called Racing Groups who have followers to join in their Cheltenham preview at 8pm tonight. It was incredibly hectic and I increased my meagre number of followers by 30; which was pretty cool. In addition to top secret information about Bay of Freedom I was constantly being asked for my opinions on the other races; this was a bit intimidating given that my knowledge of the other races is a little superficial.

As you can probably tell I was looking for the less obvious choices! Please also be assured that the only information I gave regarding Bay of Freedom was already well known by the loyal readers and viewers of this website. To add to the general sense of optimism Captain Von Trappe who we beat by 8 lengths at Galway came out and won at Naas today. This was the exception that proved the rule. I will be providing several updates tomorrow so, just when you think you've seen it all, keep coming back and coming back again.

The good news is their absence didn't stop Bay of Freedom from being in the field so I have decided that such stupid superstitious thoughts have no place in my mind; the same goes for wondering if we should use the wrong cap that he wore when he won at Galway. We will be using the proper cap and I will be wearing another pair of black and green socks which are perfectly nice thank you very much.

I spoke to Peter briefly and the horse was fine this morning. We took some blood and should get the results tomorrow; his last counts a week or so ago were perfect and better than at Galway so we are not expecting any issues and are just making sure no stone is left unturned.

She had actually forgotten about the race being on Wednesday and had arranged to see the second Marigold Hotel movie with my sister. As a punishment I forced them to listen to my interview on FM Racing which they endured with fortitude, determination and ultimately support.

I mentioned in that interview that I was first introduced to racing by my dad at the age of 5 or 6 when he took me to Uttoxeter, our local track. He was also an internet junkie so would have got a kick out of this site although the daily critiques might have driven us both mad. I am incredibly lucky in so many ways and will forever be grateful to my dad for allowing me to share his passion and then for supporting my passion as it developed into a love for this great sport.

Bay of Freedom will be in his stable right now completely unaware of the culture shock that the next few days will bring; the ferry, the drive to Cheltenham, the buzz and the number of horses, the crowds and the complete change in routine. We're confident he'll take it all in his stride and be in great form when we next see him on Tuesday morning. Still no jockey news: we may know more tomorrow. In the meantime watch out for Owega Star at Naas; best of luck to him and Peter!

One more thing - Captain Von Trappe runs in the 3 mile maiden hurdle at Naas. Can you believe it? Talk about close - he is number 24 of 24 and there are two other horses with the same rating Peter and Ber are delighted as is Gavin, his lad. As Peter said: " now the pressure is really on". I decided that discretion was the better part of valor after a night down the pub with some friends. Of the two possible outcomes, of course the more likely outcome is that a red card will be drawn. The odds offered are lower than the true odds for the event occurring, and the bet consequently offers poor value.

Unlike the draw of a card, the true probability of any horse winning any race is neither known nor measurable. Consequently, nobody knows what the true odds are. The odds on offer are governed by the laws of supply and demand, a function of bookmaker and bettor opinion. Therefore, the edge in betting usually lies in going against the crowd, an idea that Alan Potts encapsulated in his book of that title.

If you can take a view that is contrary to that of the majority, and if your opinion is well informed and accurate then, in the long run, you should make a profit. Donn bets on form, not on information.

Almost all of his bets are on mature morning prices or ante post markets on the higher class races, in which form and potential can be assessed and evaluated. If you wish to sign up, as long as there is a place available, you can just click one of the Buy Now buttons above and you will be taken to a secure PayPal page where you can pay by credit card or by your preferred method.