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SPORTS BETTING TOTALS EXPLAINED VARIANCE

They have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches and should be fresher for this match, having enjoyed a comfortable victory over non-league Marine in the FA Cup third round at the weekend, when Fulham were taken to extra time before beating Queens Park Rangers. Already signed up to Virgin Bet? Take a look at all the latest bookmaker offers on our best betting sites list. After a bad week in mid-December in which they lost to Liverpool and Leicester and were held by Crystal Palace, Spurs have won four and drawn one of their next five matches in all competitions, returned to the top four and set up a League Cup final date with Manchester City.

In contrast Fulham have scored only 13 league goals, a tally that is higher than only West Bromwich Albion 11 , Burnley 9 and Sheffield United 8. They have shown fight in recent weeks but have only won two of their last 26 away games in the Premier League and it is hard to see them improving on that record on Wednesday.

Spurs have scored 14 goals in their last five games across all competitions, but it should be noted that 10 of that tally came in games against Stoke City, Brentford and non-league Marine. Fulham may be 18th in the table but they will be better defensively than those sides, and having drawn their last four Premier League games, they will be hard to beat. They have conceded more than one goal in only two of their seven away league assignments, the defeat by Leeds and a loss to Manchester City.

Spurs have already been held by the likes of Crystal Palace, Newcastle United and West Ham United this season, while they only edged past West Brom and Burnley, so another low-scoring affair could be on the cards. Tip: Under 2. The South Korea forward has never scored against Fulham in the league but he will be confident of breaking his duck on Wednesday, having scored on each of his last two starts. Spurs must decide whether to risk Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, who suffered a gashed leg against Brentford.

Harry Winks is likely to get the nod over Moussa Sissoko to partner the Dane in midfield. Kane will be flanked by Son and Steven Bergwijn with Tanguy Ndombele just behind in the attacking midfield role. Fulham, who have not played a league match since Boxing Day, have no real injury concerns but a lack of match sharpness could be a problem. Bobby Decordova-Reid and Antonee Robinson will provide the width as wing-backs.

Underage gambling is an offence. The tide is certainly starting to turn on Steve Bruce, which means one thing. Newcastle will start picking up results. The wily old fox of a boss is a master at pulling a result out of somewhere to turn the tide back in his favour. Since taking the job he has never gone longer than a run of six games without a win - this game will be the seventh in that winless streak.

Notebook: Newcastle fans bored and detached. Arsenal were back to their ponderous selves on Monday. Playing Newcastle basically mirrors playing Crystal Palace and with Mikel Arteta unlikely to change their style, it could be another frustrating evening in terms of chance creation. The Gunners have won only one of their last seven Premier League games at The Emirates, taking just five points from the last 21 available.

It was just over a week ago that Newcastle were holding Arteta's team to a in the FA Cup after 90 minutes where Andy Carroll, yes, Andy Carroll, provided the Toon with a big attacking weapon. I would like to see him play in a front two with Callum Wilson, who remains one of the clear positives when it comes to Bruce's side. Despite having no affinity whatsoever for Sheffield United, even I afforded a fist-pump in their direction after their win over Newcastle. It would be a footballing catastrophe if they break Derby's record for the fewest points in a season 11 - we must fight against that.

Interestingly, Derby's only win that season was at home to Newcastle. It was a victory for long-term performance data that showcased that the Blades remain a well-equipped side on their day and also a victory for being a good bloke in the case of Chris Wilder. I'm certain they will provide a stern test for Tottenham, too. However, it's difficult to see Wilder's team creating enough big chances to test what is usually a watertight Spurs defence, who have conceded just 16 goals - only Man City 13 have conceded fewer.

The Blades have lost 11 games by one goal while Spurs have beaten both Burnley and West Brom by a solitary goal on the road this season. That will do again for Jose Mourinho, who will back his defence to keep out one of the most toothless attacks in Premier League history. It would be Spurs' first win at Bramall Lane since - a run of seven games without a win there.

In situations like this, trying to not get carried away with the pre-match hullabaloo when it comes to finding intelligent betting angles is key. This one has the hallmarks of being a cagey affair. Liverpool have the best Premier League home record this season - and are unbeaten in their last 67 league matches at Anfield - while Man Utd have the best away record in the division. So, what happens when an immovable object meets a force of nature? Stalemate, that's what. Surely "don't lose" will be the message rather than going all out to win it for both teams, especially in the Manchester United dressing room.

A draw will be a huge result for them. If the game gets to minutes and is all square, we could see a repeat of what happened in Man City vs Liverpool, where both were happy with a point. I will be backing the draw. There is value to be had elsewhere though. One area of football betting I have found to be quite profitable in recent years is the cards markets.

The stats will tell you that Scott McTominay has yet to be booked this season but he's made 22 fouls, averaging over 2. Unsurprisingly, he has made the most fouls without being booked of any current Premier League player this season. If you stretch it back to last season he has now on a run of 31 fouls without a card since being booked after 24 seconds on Boxing Day in vs Newcastle - which is the quickest booking since Opta started collating data in No doubt he will be tasked with breaking up Liverpool's play in midfield this weekend in what is likely to be a niggly encounter.

Liverpool always pack plenty of physicality and punch in their midfield and 12 opposition central midfielders have been booked vs Liverpool in their last 14 Premier League games. While the world and his wife get giddy over Liverpool and Manchester United playing out a "title decider", Manchester City and Pep Guardiola are quietly going about their business.

Stylistically, it's more bruising than beautiful this time around at City but it's taken them to eight games unbeaten in the Premier League, winning six of those. Conceding just three goals in their last 14 games in all competitions is quite frankly a ridiculous record.

Palace are unbeaten in their last two visits to the Etihad Stadium though, scoring five times in those matches. Roy Hodgson's sit and counter approach could work again - but they simply must get the first goal. I just cannot see it. With no central striker being preferred at the moment by Guardiola, De Bruyne is being asked to drive into the box at every opportunity and he has registered 10 shots in his two Premier League games playing that role, scoring at Chelsea and missing two big chances in the win over Brighton.

I'm assuming he will also regain penalty duties after Raheem Sterling's miss on Wednesday, too. He looks good for a goal. It's all gone a bit stale for Nuno Espirito Santo since Raul Jimenez suffered that horrific skull injury. I got my fingers truly burnt by them on Tuesday against Everton; they played without much attacking purpose as the Toffees were defensively in control throughout.

Wolves have lost five of their last eight Premier League games and not managed a clean sheet in 11 matches. It's hard to get a true handle on them as Sam Allardyce is still working out his best formula in terms of team selection. Better value is found in the goalscorer markets.

I backed Leander Dendoncker to score against Everton as he continues to play in an advanced role and is hugely overlooked by the bookmakers. He had four shots in that match but his finishing was wayward. In the absence of Jimenez he provides the physicality in the box that Wolves require. With them likely to see plenty of the ball in wide areas in this one, the chances of him finishing off one of these chances remains high.

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Leicester City has been pretty great this season, with Vardy continuing to spearhead their attack properly. No losses in the past few games really show us that the midland side is very resilient, it could go on from here, and they might achieve yet another result. Southampton has been dubbed as the league's dark horses this season thanks to their brilliance shown so far. The teamwork has been sublime, even forcing some of the top sides to step down and lose. Their last few games have been littered with draws, but it could mean they might avoid another loss here.

The game will see Southampton play defensive thanks to their away status in the game - whilst Vardy and co. Leicester City to win but both teams to score - a win for the home side is what we believe will go down. Match prediction: Both Teams to Score. Best odds: 1. Correct score prediction: 2 — 1. Get bonus. Leicester City Southampton 4. Draw 1. Leicester City. Hello everyone! I specialise in writing articles on transfer rumours, new technologies being instilled into sports, and dissecting how transfers are most likely to work out in the world of football.

Read Tip. Authorization Registration. January 16 2 : 0. This match has finished. Match prediction: Both Teams to Score Best odds: 1. Do you Agree? Yes No 46 Votes. Thanks for your vote! Yes We provide correct score prediction as well: Correct score prediction: 2 — 1.

Welcome Bonus Get bonus. Who will win? Leicester City vs Southampton odds. Leicester City 1. With no central striker being preferred at the moment by Guardiola, De Bruyne is being asked to drive into the box at every opportunity and he has registered 10 shots in his two Premier League games playing that role, scoring at Chelsea and missing two big chances in the win over Brighton.

I'm assuming he will also regain penalty duties after Raheem Sterling's miss on Wednesday, too. He looks good for a goal. It's all gone a bit stale for Nuno Espirito Santo since Raul Jimenez suffered that horrific skull injury. I got my fingers truly burnt by them on Tuesday against Everton; they played without much attacking purpose as the Toffees were defensively in control throughout.

Wolves have lost five of their last eight Premier League games and not managed a clean sheet in 11 matches. It's hard to get a true handle on them as Sam Allardyce is still working out his best formula in terms of team selection.

Better value is found in the goalscorer markets. I backed Leander Dendoncker to score against Everton as he continues to play in an advanced role and is hugely overlooked by the bookmakers. He had four shots in that match but his finishing was wayward. In the absence of Jimenez he provides the physicality in the box that Wolves require.

With them likely to see plenty of the ball in wide areas in this one, the chances of him finishing off one of these chances remains high. This game has all the ingredients to explode into a typically mad Leeds encounter. I have absolutely no strong opinion on which way the game will go but I'm confident there will be shots. So many shots. Games involving Leeds have produced the most shots combined of any club in the Premier League. In fact, Marcelo Bielsa's team have featured in the top four matches for total shots in a match this season 43 vs Manchester United, 39 vs Aston Villa, 38 vs Everton and 38 vs Tottenham.

Also, six of the nine Premier League games with 35 or more shots this season have involved Leeds. No matter who you are, it is likely you are going to get dragged into a gung-ho encounter full of incident and chances. And Brighton won't be able to resist. Although none of their games have featured over 27 match shots this season, Graham Potter's men rank seventh for most shots in the Premier League whilst only Liverpool have had more shots than Leeds They may not be famed for their ruthlessness in front of goal but Brighton do create chances.

It's hard to foresee anything but a drab, bitty and ultimately low-scoring encounter. Both teams are expertly organised in defence yet are not offering much going forward. That has not stopped West Ham picking up points over the festive period with gritty draws against Southampton and Brighton and an even grittier win at Everton.

I am not sure their current run is sustainable though with the performance against Stockport in the FA Cup sending out warning lights that things might be about to turn for David Moyes. They created an xG of just 0. Meanwhile, Burnley are now back to their best, yet the markets do not seem to agree.

Even in this one they are being priced up like a relegation-threatened side when really Sean Dyche's men are mid-table material. It is also relevant that Burnley have won each of last three meetings, without conceding. Goals remain a problem for Dyche though, scoring just nine goals all season and they have scored more than once in just one of their last 15 Premier League games.

But there has been shoots of light in that regard when assessing their expected goals data which has them registering a season total of I am happy to back them here. Call me a hipster if you dare, but I was raving about Fulham before all the cool kids jumped on the bandwagon after their draw with Tottenham.

But like with many mainstream opinions, Scott Parker's team are in danger of becoming slightly overhyped now. Yes, they were fluid and knocked the ball around nicely at Spurs but all the big chances were created by Jose Mourinho's team, racking up an xG figure of 2. However, it's really difficult to see how Fulham, who have only won two of their last 16 Premier League games, will stop Lampard's side down the flanks; an area where Tottenham absolutely battered them on Wednesday night.

Whoever plays centre-forward for Chelsea should get chances to feast on. Leicester notoriously struggle when asked to dictate games at home, losing to Fulham, Aston Villa, West Ham and Everton already this season. Brendan Rodgers' men have won 12 more points away than at the King Power this season whilst Saints have lost just two of their last 15 matches and just one of their last 13 away games.

Yes, Danny Ings is out with Covid but Sir Ralph has managed just fine without him in five games this season, losing just one of those. Hasenhuttl is a manager that does not rely on individuals, his emphasis is on team cohesion with everyone knowing their roles.

Ings is the cherry on the top but the tasty ingredients that knit the Saints side together remain intact. The reason for the market drift on Saints could be to do with their attacking output performance numbers over the festive period. Since beating Sheffield United on December 13, Saints have only scored twice with a combined xG figure of 3. However, they have played Arsenal, Manchester City and Liverpool in that run, so I am happy to let those declining numbers slide for the time being.

It's simply got to be an away win. Play for free, entries by pm. Search Sky Sports. Premier League predictions: Steve Bruce to stem tide with shock away win at Arsenal? Fill 2 Copy 11 Created with Sketch. Tuesday 19 January , UK. How did Jones Knows do?